国境口岸呼吸道传染病传入风险评估体系的建立与应用

    王保刚，上官文学，黄健华，王康琳，刘德臣，许文燕

    北京出入境检验检疫局，北京 100026

    摘要：目的建立一个科学的呼吸道传染病风险评估体系，提高口岸呼吸道传染病防控风险评估的科学性和准确性。方法对检验检疫机构在甲型H1N1流感中的防控经验进行回顾研究，同时采取德尔菲法对风险评估因素进行确认和判定，利用矩阵分析方法确认风险水平。结果确立了口岸呼吸道传染病传入的可能性影响因素和危害程度影响因素，在甲型H1N1流感疫情早期的评估中客观准确。结论建立了科学有效的口岸呼吸道传染病风险评估体系。

    关键词：呼吸道传染病；风险评估；指标体系

    中图分类号：R183.3　文献标识码：B

    Establishment and application on riskassessment index system of

    imported respiratory infectious diseases atfrontier ports

    WANG Bao-gang，SHANGGUAN Wen-xue, HUANGJian-hua,WANG Kang-lin， LIU De-chen, XU Wen-yan

    Beijing Entry-Exit Inspection and QuarantineBureau, Beijing,100026,China

    Abstract:   Objective  To establish the risk assessment index system on importedrespiratory infectious diseases at ports.  Methods  The experience of prevention and control for imported influenzaA(H1N1) in the health quarantine system were reviewed and studied.Based on the Delphi Method, the risk assessment factors wereevaluated, as well as adopting matrix analysis the level of riskwas confirmed.  Results   The index to analyzing therisk possibility and the severity of hazards of importedrespiratory infectious diseases were established. It wasimpersonality and scientificity in the application of riskevaluation in influenza A(H1N1) prevention and control at Beijingports at early days.  Conclusion   It is necessaryto establish the scientific risk assessment index system on theimport, transmission and spread of respiratory infectious diseasesat ports.

    Key words:   Respiratory infectiousdiseases; Risk assessment; Index system

    《中国国境卫生检疫杂志》2012年第5期